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Something’s missing here

Via Amanda comes this op-ed claiming that the poor really aren’t so poor, because they have stuff. Stuff like TVs and VCRs. Sure, the lower fifth of earners spend more than they take in, but that means they’re better off!

The top fifth of American households earned an average of $149,963 a year in 2006. As shown in the first accompanying chart, they spent $69,863 on food, clothing, shelter, utilities, transportation, health care and other categories of consumption. The rest of their income went largely to taxes and savings.

The bottom fifth earned just $9,974, but spent nearly twice that — an average of $18,153 a year. How is that possible? A look at the far right-hand column of the consumption chart, labeled “financial flows,” shows why: those lower-income families have access to various sources of spending money that doesn’t fall under taxable income. These sources include portions of sales of property like homes and cars and securities that are not subject to capital gains taxes, insurance policies redeemed, or the drawing down of bank accounts. While some of these families are mired in poverty, many (the exact proportion is unclear) are headed by retirees and those temporarily between jobs, and thus their low income total doesn’t accurately reflect their long-term financial status.

So, bearing this in mind, if we compare the incomes of the top and bottom fifths, we see a ratio of 15 to 1. If we turn to consumption, the gap declines to around 4 to 1. A similar narrowing takes place throughout all levels of income distribution. The middle 20 percent of families had incomes more than four times the bottom fifth. Yet their edge in consumption fell to about 2 to 1.

You know, one reason that sales taxes are considered regressive is that they affect poor people disproportionately — because you need a certain amount of purchased goods to survive, it’s unfair to take a huge relative chunk out of the incomes of poorer people. That 7% bites a lot more when you consider the relative size of the tax vis-a-vis a poor person’s income. It’s also one reason, the mewling of John Aravosis aside, that if you’re going to stimulate the economy via rebates-that-aren’t-really-rebates, you put the money into the hands of people who are not only likely to spend it, but likely to have already tightened their belts and put off purchases because things were getting tight.

So, you really can’t look at the fact that poor people spend all that they have — and more — and conclude that they’re not doing all that bad after all because they’re spending all that they have — and more. In fact, most people would consider the fact that they have to beg, borrow or steal to be a problem. A bellwether, even.

Amanda points out that this piece fails to mention the word “debt,” as in the thing that funds people’s being able to spend more than they earn. Nor do the authors consider that, well, consumer goods are cheaper than buying a house:

To understand why consumption is a better guideline of economic prosperity than income, it helps to consider how our lives have changed. Nearly all American families now have refrigerators, stoves, color TVs, telephones and radios. Air-conditioners, cars, VCRs or DVD players, microwave ovens, washing machines, clothes dryers and cellphones have reached more than 80 percent of households.

As the second chart, on the spread of consumption, shows, this wasn’t always so. The conveniences we take for granted today usually began as niche products only a few wealthy families could afford. In time, ownership spread through the levels of income distribution as rising wages and falling prices made them affordable in the currency that matters most — the amount of time one had to put in at work to gain the necessary purchasing power.

At the average wage, a VCR fell from 365 hours in 1972 to a mere two hours today. A cellphone dropped from 456 hours in 1984 to four hours. A personal computer, jazzed up with thousands of times the computing power of the 1984 I.B.M., declined from 435 hours to 25 hours. Even cars are taking a smaller toll on our bank accounts: in the past decade, the work-time price of a mid-size Ford sedan declined by 6 percent.

Ah, yes. The “You have a VCR, so you can’t really be poor” argument. I see that a lot. Along with the “You’re fat, so you can’t really be poor” argument. Have they no workhouses? The Xpatriated Texan notes that the whole argument rests not only on positing that the poor aren’t really poor, but also that the rich aren’t really rich (which they manipulate by using earned income, rather than total income, as their measure — though it’s not explicitly stated *which* measurement they’re using, they mention several times what a household “earns.” Which means something different than “takes in”).

As one of the commenters at Pandagon points out, this “The poor have TVs!” argument is designed to appeal to people in their 50s and 60s, for whom purchases of consumer electronics was a big deal growing up, and for whom purchasing some big-ticket electronic item also meant that you had arrived in the middle class. Hell, I’m not even 40, and have always been middle-class, and I can remember it being a big huge honkin’ deal when we got our big-ass white-console Zenith color TV. Why did we get a new one? Because the TV repairman (remember those? They had to make housecalls because the TVs were so big) couldn’t fix our old wood-paneled one anymore. It was an even bigger deal when my parents got a portable for their bedroom, though I think that may have been black and white. But prices continued to decline, and by the time I was in high school, I was able to buy my own rabbit-eared TV with my own earnings for something like $150, and use it for a good 10 years. Then I bought a similar model for much less until it, too, bit the dust and I upgraded to a flat screen (which cost me wayyyy more back then than I would have to pay to replace it). I bought my first VCR 15 years ago for $150, but I recently paid $35 for a DVD player. I paid more for the plant that sits next to it.

Another thing that the authors don’t mention in the slightest is that, while the cost of consumer goods might be going down, the cost of housing — which is a far more reliable indicator of financial security — is skyrocketing. Indeed, a lot of what’s been floating the economy for the past several years has been borrowing against equity and subprime mortgages. Because you don’t exceed your income by 100% by buying a $10 secondhand TV; you exceed your income because you have to scrounge money by any means possible to keep a roof over your head. And maybe you got that TV for $10 because your neighbors had to sell off all their stuff to make the mortgage payment or the rent this month. And maybe your neighbors got it free from someone else in the first place. Who maybe needed to give their stuff away when they got evicted or foreclosed on.

Personally, while my electronics have been declining in price, my apartment has appreciated, to the point where I can (fingers crossed) sell it for twice what I paid for it almost 7 years ago. But when I look for a new place, I will nonetheless be priced out of many neighborhoods that I could have afforded 10 years ago, because housing has appreciated all over.

Mind you, if you spend a few minutes Googling the authors of the piece, W. Michael Cox and Richard Alm — both officials at the Federal Reserve Bank in Dallas, and thus hardly unbiased in matters of the economy and wealth distribution — you find some interesting stuff. Like, the fact that they’ve been pushing this “The income gap doesn’t really exist because electronics are getting cheaper and poor people have refrigerators!” crap for YEARS — years like 2002, 1998, 1996 and 1995. See also this Amazon search. (Okay, I’ll give them this.)

Not that these guys have completely neglected housing costs in the past, however. Take this advice Cox gave for firefighters in high-priced cities (via):

Middle-class city dwellers across the country are being squeezed….In New York, the supply of apartments considered affordable to households with incomes like those earned by starting firefighters or police officers plunged by a whopping 205,000 in just three years.

….Firefighters who want to live in high-priced cities can work two jobs, said W. Michael Cox, chief economist for the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. “I think it’s great,” he said. “It gives you portfolio diversification in your income.”

Remember when Bush, faced with a woman who had to work two jobs to make ends meet and wanted to know what he was going to do about it, blathered about how working two jobs is the American Dream? Yeah. It’s like that.


31 thoughts on Something’s missing here

  1. I recommend the book Affluenza on this general theme; a worthy read I borrowed some time ago. It is neither a support nor a contradiction of your thesis, but is evocative of similar themes.

  2. I can’t stand that “they have VCRs” crap. What the fuck? Indoor plumbing used to a luxury too–well, guess what? Now we consider it a bare-bones necessity for living in this culture. Poor people today aren’t living in the 1930s, so why should we judge them by the standards of the 1930s? Further, back in those days, movies were cheap entertainment. Poor people went to the movies every week. All people, regardless of income need entertainment.

    And…seriously? The men and women who are willing to risk their lives coming into my house while it is on fire to pull my trapped ass out shouldn’t expect the kind of compensation that would enable them to live in this city? That is all kinds of fucked up.

    You know what else is missing from this “theory”? Health costs.

  3. Further, back in those days, movies were cheap entertainment. Poor people went to the movies every week. All people, regardless of income need entertainment.

    Bollywood relies on poor people needing entertainment. And they’re even the picturesquely-deprived-of-material-goods-and-thin-besides poor!

  4. As I mentioned on the pandagon posting, computers are now just as cheap and disposable as your consumer electronics. While I have heard the line that people who possess computers must not be that poor, they forgot to consider many possibilities including the rapid value depreciation of older computers due to rapid technological advances and pricing wars among PC makers,* the poor concerned may not have been poor when they got the computer/any perceived consumer luxury, or the possibility the computer may have been gifted/donated to the poor person.

    In my walks around the city, I see so many old but still decently functioning PCs and Macs being abandoned on sidewalks and dumpsters that I have been cleaning & fixing them up both for my own use and to donate to low-income students and adults who need a computer for basic office applications and internet access.

    In fact, this very post is typed on one such abandoned PC.

    * Pricing wars on the low-mid end consumer line computer market is such that most middle/upper-class computer users tend to prefer buying a new computer rather than figure out what went wrong with their old machine.

  5. Yeah, I wound up giving my old computer — which I didn’t pay very much for in the first place but which had been rendered completely wonky by the 2003 blackout, thus killing its resale value — to my super. It worked well enough for his purposes, and why just toss it on a landfill because I had grown tired of its limitations? But I’m sure that Cox and Alm would look at the fact that they owned a computer as evidence of how well they were doing.

  6. This is why I put out old, small, appliances in front of where I live rather than throw them away. Depending on what part of London I was living in, they’d go in anywhere between 5 minutes and 10 seconds. Also, more power to Freecycle.

  7. I’m fortunate to live in a small city where the cost of living is low, and have a well-paying job to complement that. On top of that, my landlord charges well below market for my apartment. Even still, I have mostly hand-me-down furniture (including my TV!), and am getting excited anticipating the purchase of a new living room set (which will be a futon and coffee table, but it will be new and it will be a lot nicer than my current mismatched set).

  8. A few things:

    1. Yes, poor folks have a refrigerator and stove. So what? Most cities require landlords to provide appliances, and I do believe Section 8 requires it anywhere.

    2. What everyone else said about furniture and electronics. The curb, the Dumpster, garage sales, and Goodwill are Your Friend. So are more well-heeled friends and relatives who upgrade—hello, hand-me-downs!

    3. Some of the poor folks in that bottom fifth are people like me. People who do fairly well when employed, it’s just that we suffer on-again-off-again employment. As a tradesperson, I’ve been doing that for the lion’s share of the Bush Administration. You save money like a fiend, and then spend down your savings during the inevitable layoff. This is a way of life for a rising number of people.

    4. Some of the poor folks in that bottom fifth are people like my grandmothers. Elderly women with very low incomes, yet who still own a house and some furniture (they used to have a touch of savings, too, but I doubt that either one of them has enough in their account to keep the bank from charging “service fees” for accounts with little money). They have been slowly selling off everything they own for years. Pretty soon…

    5. Reverse mortgage! This is a financial vehicle marketed to elderly people just like my grandmothers. It’s designed to whittle away at the equity in their home in order to give them enough to keep the heat and lights on, and food on the table. With any luck, the old folks in this position won’t outlive their home (which is a distinct possibility in the Rust Belt, where home values are super-low).

    6. To a great degree, economic policy in this country is geared toward the assumption of inherited wealth. We don’t tax unearned income like we do earned income (which is the only income almost all of us have). Read “The Hidden Cost of Being African-American” for a greater take on this—it isn’t about the psychological costs of racism, but the flat-out economic bottom line that impacts African-Americans in the form of how economic policy is skewed toward inherited wealth. Inherited wealth that African-Americans couldn’t access because of redlining, VA and FHA loans, even the GI bill—-you know, forms of affirmative action for white people. White people without inheritance (in any form—legacy, trust fund, cash gifts like downpayments or parents paying for college—all that is included in the analysis)? This book is about you, too.

    So while I found the lack of mention of the word “debt” to be telling—it’s not all about the debt. It’s about bleeding people literally dry. Some of those being bled have no debt at all, nor do they have access to credit.

    As for sales taxes being regressive—-why the fuck don’t more people see this!! It’s not like we need fewer calories than the rich for our bodies to function, or less heat in the winter to keep from shivering and burning up those aforementioned calories. Proponents of that regressive bullshit say, “Oh, but food and medicine wouldn’t be taxed because those are necessities.” Really? How about electricity? Water? Sewer? Gas (heat)? Those are necessities. So is a telephone. What about cars—cars are absolutlely necessary for most people in the United States to get to work (large swathes of the U.S. have no public transportation, and most areas that do have very limited hours—like you can either get “to” or “from” work, but not both. If indeed there’s a route that is anywhere within walking distance of your job.). Gasoline, oil, and maintenance on the car that is your only form of transportation, hence employment? No tax on the child care necessary for parents to go to work? No tax on medical services?

    Because even if you could get the sales tax proponents to agree that none of the above should be taxed, you’d then have to put a whopping tax on everything else. Forget about magazines, books, cds, dvds, films. etc. No one would be able to afford them. Forget about stereos, tvs. and other consumer electronics—everyone would be scrambling for parts to cobble together enough to keep what they have functioning. Since we no longer have a manufacturing economy, but a “service economy” based on sales, what do you think that would do? If you guessed, “plunge the economy into depths not reached by the deepest portions of undersea channels in the Pacific”, you’d be right!

  9. Seems to me that the best way of looking at how wealthy someone is, is to look at their savings. Certainly looking at what they have is a bad idea. Looking at what, if anything, they are able to put towards retirement seems to be a good measure.

    That just might become even more important to look at in years to come, especially if Social Security tanks.

  10. this sort of reminds me of a time, when i was in high school, when a boy said that welfare was a bad policy because the average homeless person made 40 grand a year. there’s not a lot you can say to something like that other than, “that’s incorrect”. however, when whole groups of people actually believe it, the falsity starts to matter a little less…. and you get mike huckabee running on the FairTax platform and winning Republican primaries. shameful.

  11. “The bottom fifth earned just $9,974, but spent nearly twice that — an average of $18,153 a year”

    How does that NOT make someone poor? Not only do they make less than $10K a year, but just to live tey have to spend $18K … and are therefore negative over $8K! If this isn’t poor, I don’t know what is.

  12. According to the Canadian government, my husband doesn’t make enough money to properly support two people. Since he is my sponsor into the country, this was a big issue and we had to show them all our financial records to prove that we have, in fact, been living quite comfortably on our income.

    We make DOUBLE what the lowest income bracket in the US makes. DOUBLE. And we are judged not to make enough for just two people, while I am sure many of those $10K/year earners have kids. It’s ridiculous that someone can look at these kinds of incomes and say “nope, no problem here!”

  13. Oh, things are no bundle of roses in good ole Canada. In Halifax, my husband (who is disabled and cannot work) does not qualify for any form of income assistance because I earn more than 600$ a month.

    600$ a month is rent on our one room flat. (Not one bedroom. One room.) Basically, he’s being told he will get no support as long as I can afford to keep a roof over our head – and his medications are almost 200$ a month. (I know that things would be impossible for us if we lived in the US. He’s in and out of the doctor’s offices, specialists, hospitals, pain clinics, and psychiatrists every week, practically, and I *cannot* under any circumstances imagine how we would be able to afford that if we lived in the US.)

    I have no idea how we’re going to make ends meet. I never thought I say I missed Alberta, but at least there he qualified for AISH (Assisted Income for the Severely Handicapped, IIRC) funding.

    Yes, we own a computer and have internet access at home, but I hate when issues of being nickled & dimed come up someone always has to say “Well, you’re using a computer, how poor can you be?” ARG. How about you come over here and tell me to give up my husband’s computer when it’s the only way he gets entertainment most days, since we don’t own a t.v. and he can’t get out of the house in winter? The man’s housebound, for crying out loud. But gosh, we can’t really be struggling because we have internet.

  14. Actually, George Bush was talking to a woman who worked THREE part-time jobs, and he said that this was the American Dream. The clip was in the “Sicko” trailer that kept playing while I was working at Blockbuster all summer.

    Never under-report George Bush’s idiocy =)

  15. That argument about electronics makes my head hurt. Uh, I remember when having a car was a luxury. Or having two cars! Now in most communities, it’s a necessity in order to work for a living. Are those guys going to ding the poor for having cars?

    And as someone pointed out, indoor plumbing was once considered a luxury. So was electricity. So were refrigerators. And electric or gas stoves. Or air-conditioning. Or telephones. eeesh.

  16. I could almost see the “but they have TV/DVD/etc” argument if, say, poor people bought a brand-new television with every paycheck, or monthly. Otherwise, it’s moot. I mean, hells bells, if a poor person bought a brand new $500 television, even if they only had it for 5 years, that works out to about $8/month they “should be using towards (something deemed more important to outsiders looking in because poor people don’t deserve to have any entertainment or leisure time at all.)

  17. Well, not only are housing prices rising so are utilities, food, transportation, goods, and every damn thing else. I think we are representative of most folks in our income bracket.

    We were having a tough time when the basics of life took only 65% of our combined net income. (This would be rent, car payment, insurance, electric, natural gas, water, gasoline, food, day care.) The other 35% went for things like phone, car maintenance, clothing, household items like curtains and dishwasher det. and other non-food items, cable & internet, credit card payments if any, medical visits, Rx. If there were anything left, we might…well, there never was so that’s a moot point.

    Now, the basics of life are taking 80+% of our combined net income. We now get all of those other things on 20% or less. Our income hasn’t changed but everything else has gone up. We only go to the doctor in an emergency, we have no valid credit cards–we have bills but can’t pay them, we don’t have curtains, I stopped taking my Rx. We haven’t changed the oil in the cars in too long and a tune-up? HA! That leaves enough to get non-food items, The Girl’s Rx and to keep our cable which came with the internet which The Girl needs for school. We all need clothes and shoes but that’s not happening anytime soon.

    We aren’t even in the bottom 20%! We’re in the middle 20%.

    Tell me again how great we have it.

  18. Another important point is that the presence of TVs, VCRs, etc. as entertainment can help deter people from the type of lives Americans fear the lower class will settle into anyway. I recently read a book by Karen Seccombe (called “So You Think I Drive a Cadillac?”) where she interviewed a bunch of welfare recipients who were basically dirt poor, but noted that most of them had TVs, VCRs, etc. Their explanation for these “luxuries?” They were afraid that if they didn’t buy them for their kids, they’d spend so much time on the street that they’d be recruited by drug dealers.

    The author also noted that most of the moms had scraped together money to buy their kids nice shoes and coats…so that drug dealers and gangs couldn’t lure them by promising them these kinds of things as pay for work.

    Obviously her specific analysis is specific to inner cities, but the whole “luxury items as a deterrant from kids finding “other” ways to spend their time” is worth noting, I think.

  19. As I said in my blog about that article: also, W. Michael Cox and Richard Alm are fucking fuckwads who pretty clearly don’t understand that just because you bought a $70 color tv at Wally World, that doesn’t mean you’re cashing in stocks and bond and buying groceries at Marks and Spencers.

    Bastards.

  20. “They were afraid that if they didn’t buy them for their kids, they’d spend so much time on the street that they’d be recruited by drug dealers.”

    Exactly. If it’s not safe to venture out much in your neighborhood, you have to entertain yourself indoors.

  21. Further, back in those days, movies were cheap entertainment. Poor people went to the movies every week. All people, regardless of income need entertainment.

    Agreed.

    Both of my parents watched movies while they were in Taiwan as adolescents in 1950’s Taiwan. The above quote is especially applicable to my dad who was effectively orphaned and alone from the age of 12 when he fled the Chinese Communists in 1949. He recounted that it was one of the few things that he and his fellow refugees looked forward to as an escape from their stark dreary daily existence.

  22. We should also look at people whose standard of living drops; in this economy, it happens frequently. Say you’re doing fine–not great, but OK. You have some spare cash–not enough to afford health insurance or anything, but enough to buy a TV, a DVD player, an air conditioner. And then you get laid off or your partner is hit by a car or your kid is diagnosed with diabetes. And all of a sudden, instead of having a very very small margin of disposable income, you are in massive amounts of debt with no way to pay it off and/or your income has dropped radically. Well, you still have the DVD player, don’t you? You didn’t throw it out or trade it for a loaf of bread, right? So I guess that means you’re not really poor.

  23. But I’m sure that Cox and Alm would look at the fact that they owned a computer as evidence of how well they were doing.

    Zuzu,

    By that standard, I must be an &^%&n’ multi-millionaire who came upon a pot of gold by finding another abandoned PC out on the street tonight. 🙄

  24. eh, its really a matter of priorities. of course you cant compare the poor now to the poor in the 30’s. health care costs have been cited in this thread and our system is totally screwed but poor people can and do receive health care, even if we’re stupid enough to spend 5 grand on their emergency room visit and not 5 dollars on the pills that would have prevented that visit, that is one huge difference between “then” and “now”. when i read these types of articles, or the responses to them, i always wonder, whats the point? no one really offers any workable solutions, usually its just slanted price inflation data and anecdoctal evidence from people. the poor now are better off now than they have been at almost any time in the past or in any non-european country yet they are still screwed in most things, is that really going to change? no, its not. the people earning 10k a year, well there are a lot of different reasons for that but at the end of the day, in a country of 300 million, you are going to have tens of millions of people who will pretty much be trapped in that bracket due to physical and/or psychological problems or deficiencies. there are tens of millions more in that bracket who could move up if we offered any kind of real job training programs but we dont on a national scale.

    the only way something will happen to change all this is if the middle class continues to get screwed and at some point wakes up and realizes what is happening. my wife and I make a very comfortable income and I kind of lucked into the field im in where you can make 200k a year with a high school diploma but as the housing debacle unfolds and more in the middle feel the pinch, perhaps we will work to find some workable solutions.

  25. I hate the TV argument because I see people every day whose only stimulation is cable. For $15 a month most people can get it, and it’s easily supplemented by community health orgs that take care of special needs adults and the elderly. Now that antennae access to local stations is going away, we have a whole new bracket of poor and lonely people who won’t get access to one of the simplest and cheapest modern forms of regular, reliable stimulation.

  26. This discussion sent me searching for a memorable passage from Henry George’s book, Progress and Poverty — published in 1879. The footnote is the most relevant portion, but the surrounding text is useful, too.

    It is true that wealth has been greatly increased, and that the average of comfort, leisure, and refinement has been raised; but these gains are not general. In them the lowest class do not share.* I do not mean that the condition of the lowest class has nowhere nor in anything been improved; but that there is nowhere any improvement which can be credited to increased productive power. I mean that the tendency of what we call material progress is in no wise to improve the condition of the lowest class in the essentials of healthy, happy human life. Nay, more, that it is to still further depress the condition of the lowest class. The new forces, elevating in their nature though they be, do not act upon the social fabric from underneath, as was for a long time hoped and believed, but strike it at a point intermediate between top and bottom. It is as though an immense wedge were being forced, not underneath society, but through society. Those who are above the point of separation are elevated, but those who are below are crushed down.

    [* It is true that the poorest may now in certain ways enjoy what the richest a century ago could not have commanded, but this does not show improvement of condition so long as the ability to obtain the necessaries of life is not increased. The beggar in a great city may enjoy many things from which the backwoods farmer is debarred, but that does not prove the condition of the city beggar better than that of the independent farmer.]

    This depressing effect is not generally realized, for it is not apparent where there has long existed a class just able to live. Where the lowest class barely lives, as has been the case for a long time in many parts of Europe, it is impossible for it to get any lower, for the next lowest step is out of existence, and no tendency to further depression can readily show itself. But in the progress of new settlements to the conditions of older communities it may clearly be seen that material progress does not merely fail to relieve poverty–it actually produces it. In the United States it is clear that squalor and misery, and the vices and crimes that spring from them, everywhere increase as the village grows to the city, and the march of development brings the advantages of the improved methods of production and exchange. It is in the older and richer sections of the Union that pauperism and distress among the working classes are becoming most painfully apparent. If there is less deep poverty in San Francisco than in New York, is it not because San Francisco is yet behind New York in all that both cities are striving for? When San Francisco reaches the point where New York now is, who can doubt that there will also be ragged and barefooted children on her streets?

    This association of poverty with progress is the great enigma of our times.

    * It is the central fact from which spring industrial, social, and political difficulties that perplex the world, and with which statesmanship and philanthropy and education grapple in vain.
    * From it come the clouds that overhang the future of the most progressive and self-reliant nations.
    * It is the riddle which the Sphinx of Fate puts to our civilization, and which not to answer is to be destroyed.

    So long as all the increased wealth which modern progress brings goes but to build up great fortunes, to increase luxury and make sharper the contrast between the House of Have and the House of Want, progress is not real and cannot be permanent.

    If this intrigues you, you might check out http://www.wealthandwant.com/themes/Poverty.html

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